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China Inflation Stabilises In May As Energy Costs Ease

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An employee sorts products at a supermarket in Beijing on December 10, 2025.
China’s consumer prices rose last month at their fastest pace in almost two years, data showed, following an extended period of deflationary pressure in the world’s second-largest economy.

Chinese consumer prices remained stable in May, as official data Wednesday showed the impact of soaring energy prices had started to fade, while increased demand for AI-linked tech goods pushed factory gate costs up for a third straight month.

The continued pick-up in inflation comes as figures on Tuesday revealed a surge in imports and exports fuelled by demand for tech components and machinery.

The consumer price index (CPI), a key measure of inflation, came in at 1.2 per cent last month, according to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), the same as April and just slightly lower than the forecast in a Bloomberg survey of economists.

It remained far below the government’s two-percent target for the year.

A man smokes a cigarette at the Central Business District (CBD) in Beijing on January 19, 2026. (Photo by WANG Zhao / AFP)

On a monthly basis, CPI dipped 0.1 percent month-on-month, reversing a 0.3 per cent rise in April, “mainly due to changes in energy and service prices”, NBS statistician Dong Lijuan said in a statement.

He said the “12.6 per cent rise in domestic gasoline prices from the previous month turned into a 0.3 per cent decrease”. That, he added, saw energy prices dip 0.1 per cent in May, compared with a 5.7 per cent jump in April.

The producer price index, which measures wholesale inflation, hit 3.9 per cent — up from 2.8 per cent in April and in line with Bloomberg’s forecast.

The figure marked the quickest pace since July 2022, when the PPI came in at 4.2 per cent.

The gauge had been in negative territory since that October and did not reverse until March this year.

Customers queue to pay for their articles at a supermarket in Beijing on December 10, 2025. China’s consumer prices rose last month at their fastest pace in almost two years, data showed, following an extended period of deflationary pressure in the world’s second-largest economy. (Photo by Pedro PARDO / AFP)

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The steady rise was due to “factors such as increased demand in some domestic industries and the transmission of fluctuations in international commodity prices”, said Dong.

“The acceleration of electrification, the deep integration of artificial intelligence in various fields, increased demand for computing power among others have driven up prices in… computing-related industries.”

A supermarket attendant counts cash while handling a customer’s payment at a supermarket in Beijing on December 10, 2025. China’s consumer prices rose last month at their fastest pace in almost two years, data showed, following an extended period of deflationary pressure in the world’s second-largest economy. (Photo by Pedro PARDO / AFP)

Zhiwei Zhang, president and chief economist at Pinpoint Asset Management, tied China’s future export growth to the growing AI sector.

“As the momentum of the AI boom is likely to continue in the foreseeable future, China’s export growth and PPI inflation will likely stay strong as well,” Zhang said.

AFP

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