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Oil Extends Fall As Investors Weigh Iran War Deal

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Oil
A graphic illustration of barrels of crude oil

Oil prices inched lower on Wednesday, extending the previous session’s ​declines as investors assessed the U.S.-Iran peace deal, though uncertainty over the full resumption of shipping through ‌the Strait of Hormuz limited further falls.

Brent crude futures dipped 16 cents, or 0.2%, to $78.80 a barrel by 0340 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate fell 25 cents, or 0.3%, to $75.80 a barrel.

Both benchmarks fell about 5% for a second straight session on Tuesday to stand at ​three-month lows, on hopes that a U.S.-Iran deal would allow oil flows through the Strait.

The deal would provide for the United States to lift its blockade of Iran’s ​ports, while Tehran would allow oil tanker traffic through the Strait, effectively blocked since U.S. and Israeli strikes on February 28.

Analysts have said WTI is likely to stay volatile in a range of $10 above or below $80 a barrel.

Details of the interim ‌peace deal began ⁠to emerge on Tuesday, with President Donald Trump saying it would rule out a nuclear weapon for Tehran and a U.S. official saying it would allow Iran to sell oil upon signing.

The memorandum of understanding, not yet public, extends by another 60 days a tenuous ceasefire agreed in April, so as to allow room for talks toward a permanent truce.

Still, industry officials ​say a full return to ​pre-war production and refining levels ⁠is likely to take weeks, months, or even years.

READ ALSO: Oil Drops Under $80 On US-Iran Deal

Israel has distanced itself from both the April ceasefire and the latest U.S.-Iran pact, fuelling uncertainty about whether it will hold.

Israeli drone strikes ​targeted three vehicles in southern Lebanon on Tuesday, killing at least four and wounding others, ​Lebanon’s National News ⁠Agency said, prompting a rare public rebuke from Trump.

The prospect of extra supply added to optimism on the resumption of Mideast ​exports and helped push yields on U.S. Treasuries lower, along with a rally in global bonds, even as the ​conflict has drained strategic oil reserves.

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