Experts have forecasted a food crisis in West African nations and the Sahel region, except countries in the region changed their food production system.
The representative of AGRHYMET, Dr Abdou Ali, who spoke on Monday, warned that the countries might experience a food crisis between June and October 2024, which could affect up to 50 million persons.
He listed reasons such as poor food production, and late outset of rainfall for the food crisis forecast but added that measures could be taken to manage or avoid the situation if the countries in the region change their food production system.
Ali made the disclosure while speaking in Abuja during the seasonal forecasting workshop for agro-hydro-climatic characteristics of the rainy season for the Sahelian and Sudanian zones of West Africa and the Sahel (PRESASS 2024).
He said: “We have many problems in the region, insecurity, bad food production and we are currently not in the rainy seasons.
“We, however, have a tool that assesses the number of people under food crisis. According to the analysis by the Permanent Interstate Committee for Drought Control in the Sahel (CILSS) and its partners, a very large number of people would be in a food crisis in the region from June to October if appropriate measures were not taken.
“We have made an assessment and for this year, we have a very big number of people that would be affected compared to last year where about 37 million people were affected in the region.
“This year, more than 50 million people will be in food crisis in the region during the upcoming lean season from June to October if appropriate measures are not taken to manage the situations.”
On the necessary action that could be taken, the metrological expert said: “Each country needs to mobilise funds, activate contingency plans, call for assistance from partners and also provide food where necessary to manage the crisis.
“There is a need to increase the food-producing system because most of the current systems rely on rainfall and currently, the rainfalls are very bad. So, we need to change the paradigm to something that would be resilient to climate variability and climate change.”
The Director General of the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet), Prof. Charles Anosike, said the agency has commenced disseminating the seasonal rainfall predictions to farmers and other stakeholders to avoid the impending crisis.
He said the adherence to the information would prevent loss of resources, especially by farmers.
“Weather and climate events continue to exact a toll on our region despite the tremendous advances and investments in climate science and operational forecasting over the past century.
“Weather-related hazards, including early/late onset of rainy seasons, chronic events such as droughts and floods and extended periods of extreme temperatures trigger and account for a great proportion of disaster losses.”
“We are disseminating via social media, BBC, FRCN, and national television and we are also disseminating through our partnership with the United Nations, IFAD, Ministry of Agric. So, we are doing a lot to make sure that farmers get the information.
“Currently, in many parts of Nigeria, we are still waiting for the onset of rainfall, so this is the appropriate time to inform farmers and others because a lot of them are beginning to rush to plant but we are trying to get to them so that they don’t rush and lose resources,” he said.
He expressed hope that the impact of the flooding and other disasters would be mitigated this year if Nigerians adhere to the warning.
“We are informing Nigerians early to know what to do to address the issues and we hope that adherence will mitigate the impact of flooding and other disasters. So, we encourage our citizens to heed the warning because it is real.”
The World Meteorological Organization Representative, Dr. Roland Abah, also said the impact of climate change poses a huge threat to development in the region.
He said the World Economic Forum in 2024 ranked extreme weather as the highest current risk facing the global economy, and stated that extreme weather is expected to remain the highest risk over the next 10 years.
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